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Trump In A Landslide! Historically Accurate Model Predicts 2020 Election Results

A model with a history of correctly predicting White House winners now predicts that President Donald Trump will win re-election in a landslide.



A model with a history of correctly predicting White House winners now predicts that President Donald Trump will win re-election in a landslide against any Democrat thrown up against him.

According to the Moody’s Analytics election prediction model, Trump could pick up as many as 351 electoral votes, easily beating the 270 electoral votes needed to win the White House in 2020, CNBC reported.

“The Moody’s models have been back-tested to 1980 and were correct each time — except in 2016, when it indicated Clinton would get a narrow victory,” CNBC reported.

Granted this model made its prediction based on the data available right now and something could happen in the year between now and the actual election that could change things.

Trending: Rep Turner Gets Witness To Admit Bombshell, Debunking CNN Headline

However, this model is a huge blow to Democrats who have been assuming that extreme left-wing policy ideas coupled with their fake impeachment drama was going to be enough to destroy Trump’s re-election prospects.

“Moody’s based its projections on how consumers feel about their own financial situation, the gains the stock market has achieved during Trump’s tenure and the prospects for unemployment, which has fallen to a 50-year low,” CNBC added. “Should those variables hold up, the president looks set to get another four-year term.”

“If the economy a year from now is the same as it is today, or roughly so, then the power of incumbency is strong and Trump’s election odds are very good, particularly if Democrats aren’t enthusiastic and don’t get out to vote,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics. “It’s about turnout.”

Turnout really is a huge deal, especially this time.

We may have already gotten a hint about turn out, too. With the recent elections in North Carolina that “unexpectedly” went for the GOP, and then this week’s HUGE turnout for Republicans in Louisiana, we may be seeing omens that Republican voters will be so upset at the Democrats for their hate-filled actions over the last four years that they will turn out in unheard of numbers.

The Moody model took notice of turnout in 2016 and built that in for its 2020 prediction.

“The Moody’s models have been back-tested to 1980 and were correct each time — except in 2016, when they indicated Clinton would get a narrow victory,” CNBC concluded. “The authors attributed ‘unexpected turnout patterns’ in Trump’s favor caused the error and they adjusted for that in the latest projections. They also said the will be updating the projections as conditions develop and change.”

Follow Warner Todd Huston on Twitter @warnerthuston.

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Trump Wins: Calif. Court Cancels State Tax Return Requirement for Primary Runs

The California Supreme Court just struck down a state law that would force all candidates running in a presidential primary to reveal their tax returns.



The California Supreme Court just struck down a state law that would force all candidates running in a presidential primary to reveal their tax returns, a law that was meant to prevent Donald Trump’s name from appearing on the ballot in the left-wing state.

The state’s highest court ruled that the Democrat-sponsored law is un-constitutional.

In her decision, Chief Justice Tani Cantil-Sakauye said that the state’s law “is in conflict with the Constitution’s specification of an inclusive open presidential primary ballot.”

There is no requirement in the U.S. Constitution that demands that a presidential candidate reveal his tax returns. But Trump is the first candidate in forty years not to do so ahead of his campaign for the nation’s highest office.

Thursday’s ruling is not the first time California’s biased, partisan law has been shot down by a court.

Last month a federal judge in Sacramento blocked implementation of the state’s unconstitutional law to prevent Trump from being blocked in the state’s 2020 primaries.

Trump’s attorneys and his Democrat enemies had been gearing up for a long appeal process, but with this state Supreme Court ruling now entered, it puts an end to any other appeals.

This is a big win for the president in no uncertain terms.

The state’s tiny Republican minority celebrated the decision saying that it was the perfect answer to the Democrat Party’s attempt to limit GOP ballot access.

Californian’s GOP minority leader, State Sen. Shannon Grove, R-Bakersfield, said the unconstitutional law was “an attempt to tamper with the presidential primary by suppressing Republican voter turnout.”

The sputtering Democrats were reduced to making proclamations that all candidates should release their tax information whether the law says they must or not.

This isn’t just a big win for Trump, though. It is a win against power grabbing Democrats everywhere.

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Liz Warren Raises Concerns Over President Trump’s Dinner with Zuckerberg

Warren seems all too happy to participate in Facebook’s obstruction fo the First Amendment, and is seemingly concerned about President Trump’s work to restore freedom online.



Throughout the entirety of Donald Trump’s presidency, there have been concerns regarding the tilt of the mainstream media, but also a shift in tactics being deployed by the leviathans of the social media scene as well.

It has been patently obvious that companies such as Twitter, Facebook, and YouTube are being helmed by figures who find themselves on the left side of the political aisle, and, given the heightened state of agitation among the Democratic Party in the days following Trump’s electoral victory, these figures seemed unafraid of pursuing their political goals throughout their platforms.

This, quite simply put, is a violation of the First Amendment rights of many Americans, both constitutionally and ethically.

Now, as President Trump looks to turn the tide back into the favor of freedom its very self, Senator and presidential candidate Liz Warren is raising an objection.

Democratic presidential candidate Elizabeth Warren tore into Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg for attending a previously undisclosed meeting with President Trump at the White House in October, accusing the tech billionaire of intentionally cozying up to the administration as his company faces increased scrutiny from regulators and Democratic lawmakers.

“Amid antitrust scrutiny, Facebook is going on a charm offensive with Republican lawmakers,” Warren wrote in a series of tweets on Thursday. “And now, Mark Zuckerberg and one of Facebook’s board members—a major Trump donor—had a secret dinner with Trump. This is corruption, plain and simple.”

If elected next year, Warren said she “won’t cozy up to Facebook.”

“It’s time to root out corruption in Washington,” she said.

Warren is essentially telling the nation that the limits put on free speech by Facebook over the course of the last three years, particularly as it pertains to domestic American politics, should be the new norm despite the very obvious conflict that this creates with the constitution.


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Dem Civil War Continues as Yang Bashes Debate Moderators for Slighted Speaking Time

Even fellow dark horse candidate Tulsi Gabbard chimed in.



The Democratic Party has been trudging uphill in the battle to repair their reputation after 2016, and it appears as though only some of the lessons of that fateful election are hitting home.

During 2016’s presidential primaries, an unbelievable storyline emerged thanks to the whistleblowing efforts of Julian Assange and his outfit Wikileaks.  Emails, gleaned from the campaign of Hillary Clinton, demonstrated a clear and unconscionable coordination between the former First Lady’s team and the Democratic National Committee to put the kibosh on the campaign of Bernie Sanders, Senator from Vermont, who had captured the imagination of the youthful, millennial wing of the party.

When the news broke, Clinton was unceremoniously spurned by the Democrats, undoubtedly contributing to her stunning electoral evisceration by Donald Trump in November 2016.

The Democrats have been struggling to right those wrongs ever since, and the 2020 campaign trail is no exception.

One candidates, wealthy businessman and Washington outsider Andrew Yang is now accusing the party of similarly skewing their attention, particularly on the debate stage.

Businessman Andrew Yang criticized MSNBC sharply for not giving him adequate speaking time during Wednesday night’s Democrat debate, co-hosted by the left-wing network and the Washington Post.

“What is up with that?” Yang asked Breitbart News. “You should ask MSNBC.”

ABC News computed that Yang only spoke for six minutes and fifty-nine seconds across the two hours of debate — barely 5% of the total time on a stage with 10 candidates.

The evidence tends to bend in Yang’s favor as well.

Even fellow dark horse candidate Tulsi Gabbard chimed in:

Gabbard, a House Rep. from Hawaii, has also felt the wrath of the Clinton curse on the Democratic Party after taking flak from the former Secretary of State herself, with Hillary claiming that Gabbard was being “groomed” by Russia to spoil the left’s chances in 2020.

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Democrat Debates: Pete Buttigieg Rises, Confused, Senile Joe Biden Falls

For Wednesday’s Democrat debates, two of the top contenders had their moments, one good, one bad.



For Wednesday’s Democrat debates, two of the top contenders had their moments and while one — Pete Buttigieg — fended off the attacks well enough, the other — Joe Biden — looked like a senile mess who didn’t have a gasp of basic facts, or the English language.

First to the former vice president. Joe Biden was an utter mess last night. He stumbled around, made factual errors, and even said there was only one black woman ever elected to the U.S. Senate when Senator Kamala Harris, who is the second black woman elected to the Senate, was standing right there on the stage with him!

I another case, Biden used unfortunate language during his answer on domestic violence when he said, “we gotta keep punching at” the problem of domestic violence seemingly unaware of what he just said. He also oddly decided to say that men CAN hit women if it is a matter of “self-defense.”

Another strange thing Joe said was that he “comes out of the black community.” Um… how does a lily-white guy from Delaware “come out” of the black community?

Biden also oddly asserted that he had the support of “the only African American woman who’s ever been elected to the United States Senate” — after which both Booker and Harris replied, “That’s not true.”

Harris noted, “The other one is here.” Biden later corrected himself to say he had the support of the first African American woman elected to the Senate, referring to former Illinois Democratic Sen. Carol Moseley Braun, but that isn’t what he said the first time. He said the “only.”

Biden also looked like he was losing his train of thought all too often:

On the other hand, South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg seemed to come out of his debate intact. For instance, Buttigieg scoffed at the rest of the field’s Medicare-for-all ideas and logically noted that their plans were budget-busting boondoggles.

Buttigieg called for a reform of health care “without the divisive step of ordering people onto it,” saying that “commanding people to accept that option” is the wrong approach.

“We have a majority to do the right thing if we can galvanize, not polarize, that majority,” Buttigieg said.

With this performance, Buttigieg certainly justified his rise in the Democrat ranks. He now ranks right up there as a legitimate fourth and even better in some polls, with Biden, Sanders, and Warren.

On the other hand, if voters begin looking closer at experience, Buttigieg will suffer.

As to the rest of the field, none of them really broke any barriers or helped themselves gain any notice. This debate won’t likely change the status for them.

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Democratic Civil War Skirmish Erupts Over Biden’s Support for Pot Prohibition

Not only is Biden fending off attacks relating to his Ukrainian nepotism issues, but now for his antiquated beliefs on marijuana.



It’s no secret that the progressive posse is in a bit of a pickle, particularly as it pertains to their presidential aspirations for 2020.

The sheer glut of candidates that have been thrust into the mainstream is one of the most prominent indicators of the trouble on the left side of the aisle, as the Democratic Party struggles with a crisis of identity ahead of the “most important election of our lifetime”.

On one hand, the left hopes to somehow compete with incumbent President Donald Trump at the polls, for which they will need to focus on finding a candidate who appeals to centrist midwesterners and undecided baby-boomers.

But, on the other hand, the 2018 election has shown us that radical, hard-left candidates are the only way in which the Democrats can attract voters to the polls.

There may be no better example of this dichotomy than the case of former Vice President Joe Biden’s antiquated stance on marijuana prohibition, and rising radical star Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez isn’t afraid to tell it like it is.

Former Vice President Joe Biden (D) came under fire over the weekend after expressing skepticism for legalizing marijuana on a federal level during a town hall meeting in Las Vegas, Nevada, adding there has “not nearly been enough evidence” to determine if it acts as a “gateway drug.”

“The truth of the matter is, there’s not nearly been enough evidence that has been acquired as to whether or not it is a gateway drug,” Biden stated.

This is, of course, not entirely true, and AOC took the opportunity to pounce on the former VP.

Ocasio-Cortez, a staunch support of Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), took a veiled swipe at the former vice president, writing on Twitter that marijuana “should be legalized” following his remarks:

The freshman Democrat’s nominee, Sanders, also used the opportunity to tout his own plan to legalize marijuana.

“The criminalization of marijuana has been a disaster. We are going to legalize it, expunge past convictions and invest in communities of color that have been devastated by the War on Drugs,” he wrote…

Biden’s popularity is waning, and quickly, thanks in no small part to these outdated and archaic policy proposals.


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Indecisive Democrats Have New Iowa Frontrunner in Mayor Pete

His national polling, however, is not quite so promising.



There are just too many Democrats running for the party’s nomination in 2020, and the fatigue of the race has many of the nation’s top politicians showing premature signs of wear and tear out on the campaign trail.

For instance, there’s Joe Biden; the former Vice President is longtime frontrunner for the nomination.  Biden entered the race “late”, (at least, it was considered late at the time), and immediately rose to prominence.  Now, after his son’s Ukraine scandals are back in the mainstream spotlight, “Sleepy Joe” is swiftly being sifted into 2nd, 3rd, or even 4th place in polling – depending on who you ask.

Radical, socialism-centric Senators Bernie Sanders and Liz Warren are surging as well, fending off newcomers to the race Michael Bloomberg and Deval Patrick, a former NYC Mayor and former Massachusetts Governor, respectively.

Biden’s collapse isn’t the only surprise out on the trail, either, with one long shot candidate now taking a surprising and solid lead in Iowa.

There is a new Democratic front-runner in Iowa, and his name is Pete Buttigieg.

The mayor of South Bend, Indiana, holds a clear lead in the first-in-the-nation caucus state, climbing to 25% in a new CNN/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll of likely Iowa caucusgoers. That marks a 16-point increase in support for Buttigieg since the September CNN/DMR poll. This survey comes on the heels of other recent polls that have shown Buttigieg joining the top tier of the Democratic primary race in Iowa.

Behind Buttigieg, there is a close three-way battle for second with Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 16%, and former Vice President Joe Biden and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders each at 15%. Since September, Warren dropped six percentage points and Biden slipped five points, while Sanders gained four points.

Buttigieg may be gaining ground in the early voting state, but his national polling numbers aren’t exactly thrilling.

According to Real Clear Politics, Buttigieg is polling at 8% nationally; good enough for 4th place among the litany of liberals, but still 18 points behind former Vice President Biden.

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Harris Campaign Nearly Kaput After New Polling Numbers in New Hampshire

Harris has shown no signs of possibly bowing out of the race anytime soon, despite it becoming fairly obvious that she has no need to continue.



As the Democrats continue down the winding and ever crowded path to the 2020 election, the time for brevity and efficiency grows ever nearer.  The sheer number of candidates still vying for the nomination is untenable, and has been for some time, leading many to believe that a mass culling is on the horizon.

There are less than a handful of candidates remaining who truly have any shot at securing the nomination and, despite all of the previous hype surrounding her candidacy, Senator Kamala Harris is no longer one of them.

A new poll from one of the most important early-voting states has fairly well sealed her fate this week.

The RealClearPolitics average of New Hampshire polls similarly shows a tight race: Biden and Warren are tied at 19.7 percent, Sanders is at 19.0 percent, and Buttigieg is at 11.3 percent.

As for the bottom-tier, Quinnipiac finds Kamala Harris posting her worst polling result of 2019 in New Hampshire a couple weeks after the California senator fired her campaign staff and closed campaign offices in the state in order to redirect her diminishing resources to Iowa.

Meanwhile, Tulsi Gabbard is showing a pulse at 6 percent in the Quinnipiac poll (the Hawaii congresswoman has the support of 10 percent of independents but only 1 percent of Democrats who intend to vote in the primary):

Gabbard 6

Yang 4

Klobuchar 3

Steyer 3

Bennet 1

Booker 1

Harris 1

Harris began the race as a fiery and prominent candidate who relied on her ability to draw race into the conversation in order to score political points.  This ethnically-charged angle was certainly not sustainable, however, and Harris quickly fell out of favor, as we see here.

There has been no indication from Harris or her campaign that the Senator will dropping out of the race anytime soon, despite this clear and obvious sign that her presence is no longer a contribution to the conversation.



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